Sporting Covilha vs Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sporting Covilha 1-0 Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha nicked a narrow win over Caldas 1-0.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sporting Covilha found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 47% of the ball to Caldas's 53%, shots finished 9-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.00 for Caldas.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Caldas?
Sporting Covilha 1-0 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 36%, draw 27%, Caldas 36%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.