Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 Amora FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.71
Over 2.5
61%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
58%
+4.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
55%
-15.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
45%
+15.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.1pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Amora FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
2.00/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.80
+23% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Amora FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.01.2026 Amora FC Amora FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 POR3
04.10.2025 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 3-1 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
1-0
AWAY Amora FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Amora FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitano Évora 1911 squeezed past Amora FC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lusitano Évora 1911 as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lusitano Évora 1911 had 47% of the ball to Amora FC's 53%, shots finished 8-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lusitano Évora 1911 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lusitano Évora 1911 and 1.00 for Amora FC.

What was the final score of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Amora FC?

Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 Amora FC in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Amora FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Lusitano Évora 1911 63%, draw 20%, Amora FC 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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