Paredes 3-1 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paredes EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +13%
1.38/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.40
-16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paredes
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Sanjoanense
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2026 Paredes Paredes 3-0 HT 2-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
28.09.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-2 HT 2-2 Paredes Paredes POR3
18.02.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3
04.11.2022 Paredes Paredes 3-2 HT 1-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paredes
3-1
AWAY Sanjoanense
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paredes vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paredes saw off Sanjoanense 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paredes as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paredes had 51% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 49%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paredes had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Paredes and 1.25 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Paredes vs Sanjoanense?

Paredes 3-1 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paredes vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paredes win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Paredes 58%, draw 25%, Sanjoanense 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paredes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paredes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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