Paredes 3-0 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paredes EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +17%
0.87/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.24
-47% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paredes
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Sanjoanense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-2 HT 2-2 Paredes Paredes POR3
18.02.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3
04.11.2022 Paredes Paredes 3-2 HT 1-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paredes
3-0
AWAY Sanjoanense
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paredes vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paredes cruised past Sanjoanense 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paredes as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paredes had 49% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 51%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paredes had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paredes and 1.67 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Paredes vs Sanjoanense?

Paredes 3-0 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paredes vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paredes win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Paredes 55%, draw 25%, Sanjoanense 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paredes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paredes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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