Orleans 1-2 Cholet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1
16%
3.68
X/2
7%
10.35
X/X
9%
4.78
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
13%
8.79
2/X
8%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orleans EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Cholet EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
2.01/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.89
+8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
358 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orleans
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cholet
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.10.2023 Cholet Cholet 0-1 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
17.02.2023 Orleans Orleans 2-0 HT 0-0 Cholet Cholet FR3
09.09.2022 Cholet Cholet 1-1 HT 1-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
18.03.2022 Orleans Orleans 0-0 HT 0-0 Cholet Cholet FR3
08.10.2021 Cholet Cholet 3-1 HT 2-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
27.02.2021 Orleans Orleans 1-0 HT 0-0 Cholet Cholet FR3
POST-MATCH Orleans vs Cholet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cholet edged past Orleans 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Orleans at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orleans had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orleans and 0.67 for Cholet.

What was the final score of Orleans vs Cholet?

Orleans 1-2 Cholet in the France - National League 1 on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orleans vs Cholet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Orleans 50%, draw 24%, Cholet 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Orleans) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orleans) ✓ Over 2.5
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