AFC Fylde 3-0 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 29% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.58
1/2
9%
22.1
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
10%
8.64
X/2
13%
4.35
X/X
13%
5.36
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.31
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.39/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.93
+15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
183 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2024 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
3-0
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 7
0 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde ran out comfortable winners over Forest Green Rovers 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Forest Green Rovers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 40% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 60%, shots finished 6-6.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Forest Green Rovers?

AFC Fylde 3-0 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 25%, draw 27%, Forest Green Rovers 48%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
22 Mar 2025
15:30 Sutton United vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →
18:00 Gateshead vs Tamworth Analysis →
18:00 Maidenhead United vs Rochdale Analysis →
18:00 Solihull Moors vs Yeovil Analysis →
18:00 Eastleigh vs Southend United Analysis →
18:00 Wealdstone vs Woking Analysis →