Braintree Town 2-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 36% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.92
1/2
11%
26.0
1/X
6%
16.3
X/1
8%
8.16
X/2
16%
4.11
X/X
15%
4.52
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.46
2/X
8%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
0.95/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.89
-23% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +34%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
166 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braintree Town
0W-1D-4L
AWAY York City
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
10.09.2024 York City York City 2-1 HT 2-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
01.04.2017 York City York City 3-0 HT 2-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
08.10.2016 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-1 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
21.04.2012 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
08.10.2011 York City York City 6-2 HT 4-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braintree Town
2-1
AWAY York City
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Braintree Town vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braintree Town squeezed past York City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was York City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Braintree Town had 57% of the ball to York City's 43%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, York City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Braintree Town and 2.60 for York City.

What was the final score of Braintree Town vs York City?

Braintree Town 2-1 York City in the England - National League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braintree Town vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Braintree Town 26%, draw 29%, York City 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (York City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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