Buxton 0-1 Kings Lynn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.02
6+ Goals
7%
19.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 35% vs market 30.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.37/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.30
-2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
266 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Kings Lynn Town
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 2-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
13.01.2024 Buxton Buxton 2-2 HT 0-2 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
07.10.2023 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 1-3 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
28.02.2023 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
04.02.2023 Buxton Buxton 1-0 HT 1-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
0-1
AWAY Kings Lynn Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Kings Lynn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kings Lynn Town squeezed past Buxton 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Buxton at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Buxton had 54% of the ball to Kings Lynn Town's 46%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Buxton had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Buxton and 1.20 for Kings Lynn Town.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Kings Lynn Town?

Buxton 0-1 Kings Lynn Town in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Kings Lynn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Buxton 41%, draw 29%, Kings Lynn Town 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Buxton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buxton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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