Scunthorpe United 3-1 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.37
6+ Goals
10%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.81/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.58
+29% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Chester
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Chester Chester 0-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
02.03.2024 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 2-2 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
21.10.2023 Chester Chester 2-0 HT 1-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
3-1
AWAY Chester
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United saw off Chester 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Scunthorpe United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 50% of the ball to Chester's 50%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Scunthorpe United and 1.33 for Chester.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Chester?

Scunthorpe United 3-1 Chester in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 38%, draw 28%, Chester 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✗ Under 2.5
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