Ayr United vs Hamilton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ayr United v Hamilton — Team-Based Signals
Ayr United vs Hamilton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Ayr United
İKCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Hamilton
İKCL
2-3
HT 0-1
Ayr United
İKCL
Ayr United and Hamilton shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ayr United at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ayr United and 0.67 for Hamilton.
What was the final score of Ayr United vs Hamilton?
Ayr United 1-1 Hamilton in the Scotland - Championship on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Hamilton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 57%, draw 22%, Hamilton 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.