Greenock Morton 2-1 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.88
No
63%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.19
6+ Goals
6%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 40% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.27
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
11%
4.97
X/2
14%
6.52
X/X
17%
3.94
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
12%
4.98
2/X
4%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+8.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-8.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.8pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.64/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.38
+18% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses 2.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Queens Park
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Corners 8
25.01.2025 Queens Park Queens Park 1-2 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
29.10.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
14.09.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
30.03.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
17.02.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
16.12.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton edged past Queens Park 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Greenock Morton as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Greenock Morton and 0.50 for Queens Park.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Queens Park?

Greenock Morton 2-1 Queens Park in the Scotland - Championship on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 41%, draw 28%, Queens Park 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenock Morton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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