Carlisle United 2-1 Bromley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
12%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.31
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
18%
4.96
X/2
13%
6.12
X/X
10%
4.34
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.57
2/X
9%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromley EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.34/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.23
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.4 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlisle United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bromley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 1.21
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
462 Passes 122
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
39 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 18
7 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Bromley Bromley 1-1 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlisle United
2-1
AWAY Bromley
2.65 xG 2.68
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
242 Passes 125
73% Pass Accuracy 54%
27 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carlisle United vs Bromley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlisle United squeezed past Bromley 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Carlisle United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Carlisle United had 58% of the ball to Bromley's 42%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.65 to 2.68.

What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Bromley?

Carlisle United 2-1 Bromley in the England - 2nd Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Bromley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 39%, draw 27%, Bromley 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carlisle United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carlisle United) ✗ Under 2.5
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