Port Vale vs Morecambe Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Vale v Morecambe — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Morecambe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN1
1-0
HT 1-0
Morecambe
İN1
1-0
HT 1-0
Morecambe
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN2
2-1
HT 2-0
Port Vale
İN2
Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale squeezed past Morecambe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Port Vale as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Port Vale had 55% of the ball to Morecambe's 45%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.88 to 0.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Port Vale and 0.67 for Morecambe.
What was the final score of Port Vale vs Morecambe?
Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Morecambe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 51%, draw 25%, Morecambe 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Vale), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.