Renate 2-1 Clodiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.01
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-13.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Clodiense EU Bookmakers 23%
-16% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.47/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.71
-7% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Clodiense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Clodiense Clodiense 2-2 HT 2-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
2-1
AWAY Clodiense
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Renate vs Clodiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate squeezed past Clodiense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Renate found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renate had 48% of the ball to Clodiense's 52%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Renate vs Clodiense?

Renate 2-1 Clodiense in the Italy - Serie C on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Clodiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Renate 39%, draw 30%, Clodiense 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renate) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Renate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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