HNK Cibalia 1-0 Zrinski Jurjevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac EU Bookmakers 18%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.16/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.10
-33% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 Zrinski Jurjevac 1-3 HT 1-2 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
21.09.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 5-0 HT 1-0 Zrinski Jurjevac HIR2
29.03.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-2 HT 1-0 Zrinski Jurjevac HIR2
17.02.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 2-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
1-0
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Zrinski Jurjevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia squeezed past Zrinski Jurjevac 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HNK Cibalia as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 42% of the ball to Zrinski Jurjevac's 58%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for HNK Cibalia and 1.25 for Zrinski Jurjevac.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Zrinski Jurjevac?

HNK Cibalia 1-0 Zrinski Jurjevac in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Zrinski Jurjevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 57%, draw 25%, Zrinski Jurjevac 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Cibalia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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