Dubrava Zagreb 0-1 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.17/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.83
+7% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Jarun
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
07.09.2024 Jarun Jarun 3-1 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
12.04.2024 Jarun Jarun 0-1 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
16.02.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-0 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
0-1
AWAY Jarun
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dubrava Zagreb vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun squeezed past Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Jarun made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Dubrava Zagreb had 58% of the ball to Jarun's 42%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Dubrava Zagreb and 1.00 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Dubrava Zagreb vs Jarun?

Dubrava Zagreb 0-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubrava Zagreb vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dubrava Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dubrava Zagreb 37%, draw 32%, Jarun 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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