Vukovar 2-0 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
67%
-13.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.2pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 14%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.76/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.16
+4% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2025 Vukovar Vukovar 4-0 HT 2-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
13.10.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
23.03.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 2-0 HT 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
18.02.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 1-1 HT 0-1 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
2-0
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar beat Croatia Zmijavci 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Vukovar had 57% of the ball to Croatia Zmijavci's 43%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vukovar had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Vukovar and 0.50 for Croatia Zmijavci.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Vukovar 2-0 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 53%, draw 26%, Croatia Zmijavci 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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