St. Louis City 3-1 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.81/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.71
-4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
23.7 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Louis City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY New England Revolution
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.52 xG 0.92
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
361 Passes 453
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
08.09.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-2 HT 2-1 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis City
3-1
AWAY New England Revolution
1.08 xG 1.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
406 Passes 446
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Louis City vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Louis City saw off New England Revolution 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Louis City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, St. Louis City had 48% of the ball to New England Revolution's 52%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.08 to 1.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured New England Revolution.

What was the final score of St. Louis City vs New England Revolution?

St. Louis City 3-1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 49%, draw 25%, New England Revolution 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Louis City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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