Nashville SC 5-0 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.5pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.88/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.78
+10% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.1 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Orlando City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.07 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
383 Passes 373
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 3-2 HT 2-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
24.08.2025 Nashville SC Nashville SC 5-1 HT 4-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
22.05.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 2-3 HT 1-2 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABDK
01.09.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 3-0 HT 2-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
18.07.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-3 HT 0-2 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
08.11.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
5-0
AWAY Orlando City
3.63 xG 0.99
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
489 Passes 336
92% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC cruised past Orlando City 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Nashville SC had 57% of the ball to Orlando City's 43%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 3.63 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nashville SC and 2.17 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Orlando City?

Nashville SC 5-0 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 63%, draw 21%, Orlando City 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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