Charlotte 6-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.14
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.78
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
8%
11.7
X/1
10%
5.17
X/2
8%
7.4
X/X
8%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
22.65
2/2
17%
4.89
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.65 — our 14% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.38/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.44
-22% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.8 Crosses 16.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
1W-2D-3L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.99 xG 1.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
374 Passes 365
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
29.05.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-2 HT 2-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
25.08.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
30.05.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.10.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 5-2 HT 3-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
22.06.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
6-1
AWAY New York Red Bulls
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 22
10 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
407 Passes 510
88% Pass Accuracy 91%
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte swept aside New York Red Bulls 6-1. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Charlotte had 45% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 55%, shots finished 15-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Charlotte and 2.50 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?

Charlotte 6-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 47%, draw 22%, New York Red Bulls 31%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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