FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Dallas v Houston Dynamo — Team-Based Signals
FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Houston Dynamo
ABD
FC Dallas 4-3 Houston Dynamo — Actual Match Statistics
FC Dallas squeezed past Houston Dynamo 4-3. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day FC Dallas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, FC Dallas had 55% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 45%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.42 to 1.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Dallas and 0.83 for Houston Dynamo.
What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo?
FC Dallas 4-3 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 36%, draw 28%, Houston Dynamo 36%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.