FC Dallas 2-0 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.71
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
3.88
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
18%
5.19
X/2
11%
5.32
X/X
10%
3.95
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
19%
4.01
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
14.15
Value flag · 2/X at 14.15 — our 13% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.40/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.43
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
15.5 Crosses 14.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 1.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 Passes 382
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
21.05.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
10.07.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
23.04.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
19.09.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-2 HT 2-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
22.08.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
2-0
AWAY Houston Dynamo
55% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
419 Passes 326
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas got the better of Houston Dynamo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 38% — and on the day FC Dallas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Dallas had 55% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 45%, shots finished 25-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Dallas and 1.50 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo?

FC Dallas 2-0 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 31%, draw 32%, Houston Dynamo 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Houston Dynamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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