Houston Dynamo 1-1 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.60/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.54
-14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.5 Crosses 12.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Dallas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
397 Passes 344
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
01.10.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
21.05.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
10.07.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
23.04.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
19.09.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-2 HT 2-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
1-1
AWAY FC Dallas
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
541 Passes 320
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Houston Dynamo at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 61% of the ball to FC Dallas's 39%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.50 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?

Houston Dynamo 1-1 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 50%, draw 26%, FC Dallas 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Houston Dynamo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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