Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mainz 05 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 shaded a tight game against Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mainz 05 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Mainz 05 had 30% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 70%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.61 to 1.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mainz 05 and 1.33 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Result & Final Score
Mainz 05 2 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 44%, draw 27%, Eintracht Frankfurt 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.