Homburg 0-1 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.23
Over Pick
61%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
43%
4-5
29%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Homburg The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II The Market 30%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.71 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.04 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.87
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homburg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-2 HT 1-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
08.12.2024 Homburg Homburg 4-0 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
11.08.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-0 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
05.05.2024 Homburg Homburg 1-2 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
28.10.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-4 HT 0-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
30.04.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-2 HT 1-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
REVIEW Homburg vs Mainz 05 II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mainz 05 II came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Homburg 1-0 on their travels.

We leaned Homburg at 53% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Homburg against 1.33 for Mainz 05 II.

Homburg vs Mainz 05 II Result & Final Score

Homburg 0 - 1 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Homburg vs Mainz 05 II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Homburg 53%, draw 24%, Mainz 05 II 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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