Mainz 05 II 2-2 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
45%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mainz 05 II The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg The Market 42%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.76
1.42 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.73
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Homburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Homburg Homburg 4-0 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
11.08.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-0 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
05.05.2024 Homburg Homburg 1-2 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
28.10.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-4 HT 0-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
30.04.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-2 HT 1-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
21.10.2022 Homburg Homburg 0-3 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
REVIEW Mainz 05 II vs Homburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mainz 05 II and Homburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%) came home.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.83 for Homburg.

Mainz 05 II vs Homburg Result & Final Score

Mainz 05 II 2 - 2 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mainz 05 II vs Homburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 36%, draw 24%, Homburg 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Homburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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