La Louvière 5-5 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
8%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 32% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.38
1/2
9%
23.95
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
8%
6.51
X/2
12%
5.17
X/X
15%
4.99
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
18%
3.07
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.8pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.81/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.52
-44% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
26.2 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Louvière
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Genk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.37
19% Ball Possession 81%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
94 Passes 592
60% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 46
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2025 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 1-1 La Louvière La Louvière BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
5-5
AWAY Genk
1.55 xG 2.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 3
262 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
41 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière and Genk shared the points in a 5-5 draw. Half-time: 2-3. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, La Louvière had 45% of the ball to Genk's 55%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.55 to 2.49.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs Genk?

La Louvière 5-5 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 30%, draw 31%, Genk 39%. The final score 5-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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