Anderlecht 2-3 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.71
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.1
X/1
19%
5.04
X/2
7%
7.42
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.25
2/2
12%
4.97
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +20%
1.79/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.35
+36% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 70%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
16.2 Crosses 18.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.06 xG 0.82
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
324 Passes 253
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2025 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
16.03.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
10.11.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-5 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
28.04.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
24.04.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-0 HT 2-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
27.12.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
2-3
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.82 xG 1.60
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
561 Passes 178
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 28
28 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge squeezed past Anderlecht 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Anderlecht at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 71% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 29%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.82 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Anderlecht and 0.17 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge?

Anderlecht 2-3 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 51%, draw 23%, Cercle Brugge 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Anderlecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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