SV Zulte Waregem 1-0 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.35
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.05
X/1
18%
5.54
X/2
14%
6.28
X/X
13%
4.73
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.08
2/X
7%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 6% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.49/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.34
+23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
18.5 Crosses 20.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.27 xG 1.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
375 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-2 HT 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
08.04.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 0-1 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
21.08.2022 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
10.04.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-0 HT 3-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
22.08.2021 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 2-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
07.02.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
1-0
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.88 xG 0.97
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
249 Passes 459
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SV Zulte Waregem vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem nicked a narrow win over Sporting Charleroi 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SV Zulte Waregem as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SV Zulte Waregem had 37% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 63%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.88 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SV Zulte Waregem and 2.17 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of SV Zulte Waregem vs Sporting Charleroi?

SV Zulte Waregem 1-0 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Zulte Waregem vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SV Zulte Waregem 42%, draw 27%, Sporting Charleroi 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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