Dender EH 1-3 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
12.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.39
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
16%
6.39
X/2
15%
5.15
X/X
8%
4.78
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
20%
3.15
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.21/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.58
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
21.0 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gent
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.34
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
315 Passes 500
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2025 Gent Gent 3-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
12.01.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
04.08.2024 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 0-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
04.04.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
08.11.2008 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
10.05.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 0-3 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-3
AWAY Gent
0.71 xG 2.21
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
347 Passes 276
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 35
23 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent got the better of Dender EH 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Dender EH had 55% of the ball to Gent's 45%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.71 to 2.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dender EH and 1.50 for Gent.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Gent?

Dender EH 1-3 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 34%, draw 24%, Gent 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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