Club Brugge 4-1 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.29
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.82
2-3 Goals
38%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
5.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.44
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
5%
20.65
X/1
27%
3.91
X/2
3%
19.3
X/X
9%
8.98
2/1 EV+ ✗
17%
19.6
2/2
4%
15.35
2/X
5%
23.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.6 — our 17% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
73%
-1.9pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.5pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-0.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +23%
2.37/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.89
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +19%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
476 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
23.2 Crosses 13.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mechelen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.98 xG 0.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
441 Passes 355
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
07.12.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 1-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
26.07.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
10.12.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
30.07.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
02.04.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-3 HT 0-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
4-1
AWAY Mechelen
3.14 xG 0.51
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 2
424 Passes 272
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
43 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge swept aside Mechelen 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Club Brugge had 59% of the ball to Mechelen's 41%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 3.14 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Brugge and 0.83 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Mechelen?

Club Brugge 4-1 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 71%, draw 19%, Mechelen 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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