Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
61%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
16%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
62%
Away Win
64%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 69%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.16/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.85
+9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
276 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 497 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
0W-0D-6L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
16.08.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
09.05.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
22.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-1 HT 2-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
22.10.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
25.08.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
2-0
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
28% Ball Possession 72%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 10
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool got the better of FC Flora Tallinn 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. FC Flora Tallinn carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 28% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 72%, shots finished 10-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 2.83 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 15%, draw 24%, FC Flora Tallinn 62%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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