Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
69%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
31%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
14%
-2.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.1pp
69%
Away Win
68%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 72%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.23/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/0.70
+18% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
289 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
0W-0D-6L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
09.05.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
22.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-1 HT 2-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
22.10.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
25.08.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
19.05.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
1-2
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn squeezed past Harju Jalgpallikool 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 48% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 52%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 2.67 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 11%, draw 20%, FC Flora Tallinn 69%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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