FC Kuressaare 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
6.35
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
64%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
12%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.0pp
65%
Away Win
70%
-5.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 75%
+10% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
0.92/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.89
+23% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
36% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 5-1 HT 3-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
04.05.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
02.03.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
23.11.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare ESTK
21.09.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-3 HT 2-3 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
04.08.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare and Paide Linnameeskond shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Paide Linnameeskond at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Kuressaare and 2.67 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond?

FC Kuressaare 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 16%, draw 20%, Paide Linnameeskond 65%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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