Tallinna Kalev vs Trans Narva Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tallinna Kalev v Trans Narva — Team-Based Signals
Tallinna Kalev vs Trans Narva Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tallinna Kalev 1-3 Trans Narva — Actual Match Statistics
Trans Narva got the better of Tallinna Kalev 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trans Narva as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 51% of the ball to Trans Narva's 49%, shots finished 10-19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trans Narva led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 1.83 for Trans Narva.
What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Trans Narva?
Tallinna Kalev 1-3 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Trans Narva?
Before kick-off our model rated an Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 20%, draw 18%, Trans Narva 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trans Narva), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.