Tallinna Kalev 2-5 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
55%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
55%
Away Win
55%
-0.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 60%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.04/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.16
-2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-0 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
23.10.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-1 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
17.08.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-2 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
12.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
13.04.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-2 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
11.11.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 5-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
2-5
AWAY Trans Narva
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva swept aside Tallinna Kalev 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-5. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trans Narva as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 40% of the ball to Trans Narva's 60%, shots finished 9-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 1.00 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Trans Narva?

Tallinna Kalev 2-5 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 23%, draw 22%, Trans Narva 55%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trans Narva), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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