Trans Narva 2-0 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
68%
+0.7pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +30%
2.40/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.15
-1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +66%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
419 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-5 HT 0-5 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
08.04.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-0 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
23.10.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-1 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
17.08.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-2 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
12.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
13.04.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-2 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
2-0
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva saw off Tallinna Kalev 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trans Narva as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trans Narva had 60% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 40%, shots finished 23-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trans Narva had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Trans Narva and 1.17 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Tallinna Kalev?

Trans Narva 2-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 69%, draw 19%, Tallinna Kalev 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trans Narva) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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