FC Seoul 5-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.69
6+ Goals
7%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 33% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.81
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
10%
17.6
X/1
17%
3.71
X/2
11%
12.8
X/X
10%
5.29
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
4%
11.6
2/X
5%
20.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 17%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +23%
1.62/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.18
-4% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.9 Crosses 14.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gwangju
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 Passes 330
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 3-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
13.06.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
19.04.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-2 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
06.10.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 3-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
02.06.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-2 HT 1-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
02.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
5-0
AWAY Gwangju
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
340 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul cruised past Gwangju 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Seoul as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, FC Seoul had 52% of the ball to Gwangju's 48%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Seoul and 1.67 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Gwangju?

FC Seoul 5-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 56%, draw 25%, Gwangju 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Seoul), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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