HNK Gorica 4-0 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 22 Mar 2026

HNK Gorica
4 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Rijeka
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.56
Over
38%
2.2
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.33
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
15%
4.53
6+
3%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME HNK Gorica The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.08 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.13
1.31 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.94
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Gorica
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rijeka
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.63 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
363 Passes 297
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
05.10.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-3 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
04.05.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 2-1 HT 2-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
01.03.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
30.11.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
14.09.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Gorica
4 - 0
AWAY Rijeka
2.14 xG 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
265 Passes 375
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW HNK Gorica vs Rijeka
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

HNK Gorica swept aside Rijeka 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

From a near-even 30% / 33% / 37% read, it was HNK Gorica who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Rijeka saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 2.14 to 0.67.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for HNK Gorica against 1.33 for Rijeka.

HNK Gorica vs Rijeka Result & Final Score

HNK Gorica 4 - 0 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

HNK Gorica vs Rijeka Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 30%, draw 33%, Rijeka 37%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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