Montedio Yamagata 0-1 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.75
Over 2.5
58%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
26%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
55%
Away Win
55%
-0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
53%
-11.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
47%
+11.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
221 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 25.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 Passes 274
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 3-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
15.06.2025 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-4 HT 2-2 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
22.06.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-1 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
13.04.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-0 HT 2-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
01.07.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 4-1 HT 2-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
13.05.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
0-1
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 12
271 Passes 490
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Crosses 33
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai squeezed past Montedio Yamagata 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vegalta Sendai as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 38% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 62%, shots finished 5-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vegalta Sendai led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 2.17 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?

Montedio Yamagata 0-1 Vegalta Sendai in the JAP2-3 on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 24%, draw 22%, Vegalta Sendai 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2-3 More JAP2-3
22 Mar 2026
08:00 Tochigi SC vs Tochigi City Analysis →
08:00 Zweigen Kanazawa vs Osaka Analysis →
08:00 Ehime FC vs Kochi United Analysis →
08:00 Kamatamare Sanuki vs Nara Club Analysis →
08:00 Imabari vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →
08:00 Gainare Tottori vs Kagoshima United Analysis →