Once Caldas 1-4 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.13/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.03
+5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
19.1 Crosses 13.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Millonarios
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.10 xG 1.16
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
246 Passes 353
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.10.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
12.06.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 2-2 HT 0-2 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
09.06.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
12.05.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-2 HT 2-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
06.03.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios CSA
08.09.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
1-4
AWAY Millonarios
0.77 xG 0.97
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
521 Passes 194
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios cruised past Once Caldas 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Millonarios made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Once Caldas had 68% of the ball to Millonarios's 32%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 0.77 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Once Caldas and 0.83 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Millonarios?

Once Caldas 1-4 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 36%, draw 29%, Millonarios 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Once Caldas), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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