Atletico Nacional 3-0 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+0.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.60/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.26
+14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 74%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
18.7 Crosses 12.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
3W-1D-2L
AWAY La Equidad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
350 Passes 218
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
02.02.2025 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
31.07.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
26.02.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
14.09.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 5-0 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
02.04.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
3-0
AWAY La Equidad
1.23 xG 0.31
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
364 Passes 100
80% Pass Accuracy 63%
32 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional ran out comfortable winners over La Equidad 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 71% of the ball to La Equidad's 29%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.23 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.67 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad?

Atletico Nacional 3-0 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 67%, draw 20%, La Equidad 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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