Atletico San Luis 1-2 Leon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.1
Over
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.54
No
41%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.79
2-3
45%
1.78
4-5
26%
2.93
6+
8%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atletico San Luis The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Leon The Market 34%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.62 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.30 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Leon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
407 Passes 327
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2025 Leon Leon 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
17.02.2025 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-2 HT 1-1 Leon Leon MEK
22.09.2024 Leon Leon 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
25.02.2024 Leon Leon 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
24.11.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-2 HT 2-1 Leon Leon MEK
24.08.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-0 HT 1-0 Leon Leon MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
1 - 2
AWAY Leon
0.69 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 2
246 Passes 292
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Atletico San Luis vs Leon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leon came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Atletico San Luis 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico San Luis at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) landed.

On the day, Leon saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.69 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Atletico San Luis against 1.00 for Leon.

Atletico San Luis vs Leon Result & Final Score

Atletico San Luis 1 - 2 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico San Luis vs Leon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 45%, draw 27%, Leon 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico San Luis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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