Monterrey vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterrey v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monterrey 2-3 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Monterrey 3-2 on the road. Half-time: 0-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Monterrey had 61% of the ball to Guadalajara's 39%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 2.29 to 1.64 — on chances, Monterrey could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monterrey and 1.67 for Guadalajara.
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Result & Final Score
Monterrey 2 - 3 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 27%, draw 27%, Guadalajara 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.