Guadalajara vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Monterrey
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
Guadalajara 4-2 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara beat Monterrey 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Guadalajara had 44% of the ball to Monterrey's 56%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.40 to 0.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guadalajara and 1.00 for Monterrey.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Monterrey?
Guadalajara 4-2 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Monterrey?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 46%, draw 30%, Monterrey 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.