Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
Cruz Azul 2-3 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM edged past Cruz Azul 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 39% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 61%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.18 to 2.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pumas UNAM's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.33 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM?
Cruz Azul 2-3 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 50%, draw 24%, Pumas UNAM 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruz Azul) went the other way.