Tigres UANL 3-1 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
6.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
32%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-4.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.3pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.77/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.71
-4% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.7 Crosses 14.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.74 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
410 Passes 394
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.01.2025 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-3 HT 1-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
02.12.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
29.11.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-0 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
14.09.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
25.01.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-2 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
05.11.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
3-1
AWAY Atletico San Luis
3.63 xG 1.18
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
582 Passes 199
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
50 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL got the better of Atletico San Luis 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 70% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 30%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 3.63 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.17 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis?

Tigres UANL 3-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 66%, draw 20%, Atletico San Luis 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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