Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
Cruz Azul 3-2 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul squeezed past Pumas UNAM 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 50% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 50%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.91 to 1.97 — on chances, Pumas UNAM could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.00 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM?
Cruz Azul 3-2 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 51%, draw 25%, Pumas UNAM 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.