Pachuca 1-0 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
3.4
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 23% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.38/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.08
+3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 80%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.5 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Club America
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
260 Passes 423
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
12.05.2024 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
09.05.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
01.05.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 2-1 Club America Club America CON
24.04.2024 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca CON
18.02.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
1-0
AWAY Club America
1.18 xG 0.55
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
269 Passes 393
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca nicked a narrow win over Club America 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Pachuca made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Pachuca had 42% of the ball to Club America's 58%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.18 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pachuca and 1.17 for Club America.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Club America?

Pachuca 1-0 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 37%, draw 28%, Club America 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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