Club America 1-1 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.12
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.66
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
9%
4.67
X/2
8%
7.4
X/X
14%
5.22
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
11%
5.05
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +22%
1.65/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.61
+5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.0 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pachuca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.23
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
452 Passes 260
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.05.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
01.05.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 2-1 Club America Club America CON
24.04.2024 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca CON
18.02.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
04.10.2023 Club America Club America 4-0 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
05.03.2023 Club America Club America 0-3 HT 0-3 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
1-1
AWAY Pachuca
2.05 xG 0.55
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
530 Passes 225
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
44 Box Touches 6
36 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club America vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America and Pachuca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club America had 68% of the ball to Pachuca's 32%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.05 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club America and 1.50 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Club America vs Pachuca?

Club America 1-1 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Club America 42%, draw 30%, Pachuca 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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